Toledo vs. San Jose State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – September 16, 2023

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It’ll be the Toledo Rockets (1-1) versus the San Jose State Spartans (1-2) in college football play at the Glass Bowl in Toledo, Ohio.

Toledo vs. San Jose State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 8.5 points, with bookmakers listing Toledo as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Toledo has -323 odds to pick up the win, while San Jose State is listed at +250 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 58.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Toledo vs. San Jose State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, September 16, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Toledo, Ohio
  • Stadium: Glass Bowl
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Betting Preview

Toledo

Toledo averaged 31.3 points per game last year, 9.3 more than San Jose State allowed per contest (22). Toledo was 4-5 against the spread and 7-2 overall last season when the team put up over 22 points. When San Jose State surrendered less than 31.3 points last season, it had a 4-5 record against the spread and a 7-2 record overall. Toledo collected 63.5 more yards per game (402.4) than San Jose State gave up per contest (338.9) last year.

San Jose State

San Jose State averaged 27.4 points per game last season, comparable to the 25.1 Toledo allowed. San Jose State was 3-5 against the spread and 6-2 overall last year when the team recorded more than 25.1 points. When Toledo gave up fewer than 27.4 points last season, it had a 3-5 record against the spread and a 6-2 record overall. San Jose State collected 41.6 more yards per game (367.9) than Toledo gave up per matchup (326.3) last year.

Toledo vs. San Jose State Betting Analysis

Toledo Betting Insights

Toledo is a perfect 2-0-0 against the spread this season. Toledo has a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 8.5-point favorites. Every game involving Toledo has hit the over so far this season. The Rockets are the moneyline favorite in their first game this season. The Rockets have never played a game this season with moneyline odds of -323 or shorter.

San Jose State Betting Insights

San Jose State has covered the spread in a matchup two times this season (2-1-0). In games they have played as 8.5-point underdogs or more, the Spartans have an ATS record of 1-1. This year, each San Jose State game has hit the over. The Spartans have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season. This season, the Spartans have been at least a +250 underdog on the moneyline two times, losing each of those contests.

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Toledo vs. San Jose State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Toledo

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.0 53.3 54.6
Implied Total AVG 32.4 32.8 32.0
ATS Record 5-8-0 3-3-0 2-5-0
Over/Under Record 6-7-0 3-3-0 3-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-4 5-1 3-3
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

San Jose State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 48.6 50.4 46.1
Implied Total AVG 30.2 32.7 26.6
ATS Record 4-8-0 2-5-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 5-7-0 2-5-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-3 6-1 1-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-0 0-2

Last Season’s Leaders

Toledo

  • DeQuan Finn had 23 TD passes and 12 interceptions in 12 games last year, completing 59.8% of his throws for 2,265 yards (188.8 per game).
  • Also, Finn rushed for 632 yards and nine TDs.
  • Jerjuan Newton had 53 catches for 830 yards (63.8 per game) and nine touchdowns in 13 games.
  • On the ground, Jacquez Stuart scored four touchdowns a season ago and accumulated 770 yards (55 per game).
  • In nine games, Tucker Gleason passed for 884 yards (98.2 per game), with eight touchdowns and three interceptions, and a completion percentage of 47.5%.
  • In addition, Gleason ran for 185 yards and three TDs.
  • Dallas Gant had 135 tackles, four TFL, and five passes defended last year.
  • On defense in 2022, Dyontae Johnson had 106 tackles, five TFL, and three sacks in 13 games played.
  • Quinyon Mitchell three TFL, 41 tackles, and five interceptions a season ago.
  • In 2022, Desjaun Johnson had one interception to go with 71 tackles, 11 TFL, four sacks, and one pass defended.

San Jose State

  • In 12 games last season, Chevan Cordeiro threw for 3,242 yards (270.2 yards per game) while posting 23 touchdowns, six interceptions and a 60.7% completion percentage.
  • In addition to the stats he produced through the air, Cordeiro contributed 260 rushing yards and nine touchdowns.
  • Elijah Cooks was a big contributor, compiling 1,082 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns on 70 receptions.
  • Kairee Robinson helped the offense by running for 752 yards (62.7 yards per game) and 10 touchdowns.
  • Robinson tallied 26 receptions (on zero targets) for 144 yards and zero touchdowns in addition to the stats he put up on the ground.
  • As an important piece of the passing attack, Justin Lockhart piled up 578 receiving yards and one touchdown on 36 receptions.
  • Junior Fehoko played in 12 games, totaling 10 sacks to go with 17 TFL and 68 tackles.
  • Kyle Harmon was on the field for 12 games, posting 100 tackles, four TFL, four sacks, and three passes defended.
  • Tre Jenkins compiled two interceptions to go along with 58 tackles, six TFL, two sacks, and five passes defended in 11 games.
  • Bryun Parham recorded three sacks to go with three TFL and 74 tackles in 12 games.

Toledo vs. San Jose State Predictions and Pick

Toledo vs. San Jose State betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    San Jose State (+8.5)

  • Pick OU: Over (58.5)

How to Bet on Toledo vs. San Jose State

You can bet on Toledo vs. San Jose State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Toledo vs. San Jose State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is San Jose State, and we expect that San Jose State will cover the spread (Toledo -8.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 58.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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