Troy vs. James Madison Prediction: Picks & Start Time – September 16, 2023

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Sun Belt opponents will clash when the Troy Trojans (1-1) battle the James Madison Dukes (2-0).

Troy vs. James Madison Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with oddsmakers listing Troy as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Troy has -145 odds to pick up the win, while James Madison is listed at +119 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 47.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Troy vs. James Madison Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, September 16, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NFLN
  • Location: Troy, Alabama
  • Stadium: Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
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Betting Preview

Troy

Troy racked up 25.6 points per game last year, 4.7 more than James Madison gave up per matchup (20.9). When Troy recorded over 20.9 points last year, it went 7-1 against the spread and 7-1 overall. When James Madison limited opponents to less than 25.6 points last year, it had a 6-0 record against the spread and a 6-0 record overall. Troy averaged 360.5 yards per game last season, 70.3 more yards than the 290.2 James Madison gave up per contest.

James Madison

James Madison scored 37 points per game last season, 19.9 more than Troy gave up (17.1). James Madison was 7-2 against the spread and 8-1 overall last season when the team notched over 17.1 points. When Troy allowed less than 37 points last year, it had a 10-3 record against the spread and an 11-2 record overall. James Madison racked up 452.5 yards per game last year, 125.4 more yards than the 327.1 Troy allowed per outing.

Troy vs. James Madison Betting Analysis

Troy Betting Insights

Troy has not covered the spread yet this season (0-2-0). Troy has not covered the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 3-point favorites. Every game involving Troy has hit the over so far this season. The Trojans have been listed as the moneyline favorite only one other time so far this season, a game they won. The Trojans have played as a moneyline favorite of -145 or shorter in only one game this season, which they won.

James Madison Betting Insights

James Madison is winless against the spread this year (0-2-0). This year, James Madison games have hit the over just once. The Dukes have not played a game this season while listed as the underdog. The Dukes have played as an underdog of +119 or more once this season and won that game.

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Troy vs. James Madison Against The Spread & Betting Records

Troy

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.4 49.3 49.6
Implied Total AVG 30.5 31.0 29.8
ATS Record 11-3-0 5-3-0 6-0-0
Over/Under Record 6-8-0 3-5-0 3-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-0 6-0 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 4-2 2-0 2-2

James Madison

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.6 53.6 55.9
Implied Total AVG 34.4 35.8 32.6
ATS Record 7-4-0 4-2-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 7-4-0 4-2-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-2 4-1 2-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1

Last Season’s Leaders

Troy

  • Kimani Vidal rushed for 1,137 yards (81.2 per game) and 10 touchdowns in 14 games last year.
  • Gunnar Watson threw for 2,813 yards (216.4 per game), completing 61.5% of his throws, with 14 touchdowns and 12 interceptions in 13 games.
  • In 14 games a season ago, DK Billingsley ran for 670 yards (47.9 per game) and eight TDs.
  • In 14 games, RaJae’ Johnson had 36 catches for 713 yards (50.9 per game) and seven touchdowns.
  • As a key defensive contributor, Carlton Martial posted 134 tackles, one TFL, and one interception in 12 games last year.
  • On defense in 2022, Craig Slocum had 91 tackles and one interception in 13 games played.
  • In 13 games a season ago, Reddy Steward amassed 51 tackles, one TFL, and three interceptions.
  • In 2022, T.J. Jackson had 49 tackles, 12 TFL, seven sacks, and two passes defended.

James Madison

  • In 10 games last year, Todd Centeio threw for 2,692 yards (269.2 yards per game) while putting up 25 touchdowns, five interceptions and a 63.6% completion percentage.
  • Centeio was a factor with his legs, too, scrambling for 366 yards and seven TDs.
  • In 11 games, Kris Thornton was targeted zero times, leading to 59 catches, 1,015 yards and seven touchdowns.
  • Percy Agyei-Obese scampered for 908 yards (90.8 yards per game) and eight TDs.
  • Kaelon Black rushed for 333 yards (4.8 yards per carry) and three touchdowns in the running game.
  • Black had 17 receptions (1.9 per game) for 177 yards (19.7 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • With one sack to go with nine TFL, 81 tackles, and one interception in 11 games, Taurus Jones was a key player on defense.
  • On defense, Jailin Walker amassed one sack to go with one TFL, 58 tackles, and three interceptions.
  • Jamare Edwards helped on defense with 50 tackles, nine TFL, and five sacks in 11 games.
  • James Carpenter compiled four sacks to go with nine TFL and 52 tackles in 10 games.

Troy vs. James Madison Predictions and Pick

Troy vs. James Madison betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    James Madison (+3)

  • Pick OU: Over (47.5)

How to Bet on Troy vs. James Madison

You can bet on Troy vs. James Madison at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Troy vs. James Madison picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is James Madison, and we predict that James Madison will cover the spread (Troy -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 47.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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