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On Sunday, September 17, 2023, the Denver Broncos (0-1) and the Washington Commanders (1-0) clash at Empower Field at Mile High.
Broncos vs. Commanders Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Broncos as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the Broncos have -175 odds to pick up the win, while the Commanders are listed at +145 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 38.5 points.
Game Info
How to Watch Broncos vs. Commanders Live?
- Game Day: Sunday, September 17, 2023
- Game Time: 4:25 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Denver, Colorado
- Stadium: Empower Field at Mile High
Betting Preview
Broncos
The Broncos averaged 3.3 fewer points per game last season (16.9) than the Commanders allowed (20.2). The Broncos were 3-3 overall and 4-2 against the spread when they scored more than 20.2 points last season.
The Commanders’ defense surrendered 304.6 yards per game last year, 20.5 less than the 325.1-yard average from the Broncos’ offense. The Broncos picked up 5.1 yards per play and the Commanders gave up 5.2.
In contests where the Broncos offense accumulated more than the Commanders’ average yard allowance last year (304.6), they were 4-8 against the spread and 4-8 overall.
Commanders
The Commanders put roughly the same amount of points on the board per game last year (18.9) as the Broncos allowed (21.1). The Commanders were 5-1 overall and 5-1 against the spread when they scored over 21.1 points last season. The average number of yards the Commanders’ offense put up and the Broncos’ defense gave up last season was within 10.3 yards (330.3 compared to 320.0). The Commanders averaged 4.9 yards per play, while the Broncos gave up 5.0.
The Commanders’ record last year when they accumulated more than the Broncos’ season average in total yards allowed (320.0): 5-4-1 overall, 5-5 ATS.
Broncos vs. Commanders Injury Report
Broncos
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Jeudy | WR | Hamstring | Questionable |
| Greg Dulcich | TE | Hamstring | Out |
| Riley Moss | CB | Abdomen | Questionable |
Commanders
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Young | DE | Neck | Questionable |
| Jartavius Martin | DB | Concussion | Questionable |
Broncos vs. Commanders Betting Analysis
Broncos Betting Insights
The Broncos covered the spread seven times in 17 games last year. The Broncos were winless ATS (0-4) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites last year.
Last year, six of the Broncos’ 17 games hit the over.
Commanders Betting Insights
The Commanders had nine wins in 17 games against the spread last season. The Commanders had an ATS record of 4-2 as underdogs of 3.5 points or more last year.
Last season, Washington was the underdog eight times and won four of those games. Washington had a record of 3-2 when it was set as an underdog of +145 or more by sportsbooks last season. Out of the 17 Commanders’ games last season, five went over the total.
The Commanders won four of the eight games they played as underdogs last season. The Commanders had a record of 3-2 in games where oddsmakers had them as underdogs of at least +145 on the moneyline.
Broncos vs. Commanders Against The Spread & Betting Records
Broncos
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 41.4 | 41.3 | 41.6 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 23.1 | 23.3 | 23.0 |
| ATS Record | 7-10-0 | 3-5-0 | 4-5-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 6-11-0 | 3-5-0 | 3-6-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 4-5 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-5 |
Commanders
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 41.8 | 42.4 | 41.1 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 22.9 | 23.1 | 22.6 |
| ATS Record | 9-8-0 | 5-4-0 | 4-4-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 5-11-1 | 2-7-0 | 3-4-1 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 4-3-1 | 2-2 | 2-1-1 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 4-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
Players to Watch
Broncos
- Over the course of 15 games played last year, Russell Wilson amassed 3,524 passing yards, with 16 touchdowns against 11 interceptions and completing 60.5% of his passes.
- He added 277 yards on the ground, with three rushing touchdowns. He averaged 18.5 yards per game and 5.0 per attempt.
- Jerry Jeudy put together a 2022 stat sheet that included 67 catches for 972 yards and six receiving touchdowns over 15 games played. He was on the receiving end of 100 targets and averaged 4.5 receptions per game.
- Samaje Perine averaged 24.6 rushing yards per game for the Bengals last season (394 total yards), while scoring two rushing touchdowns.
- Perine helped out in the receiving game, amassing 287 receiving yards (17.9 per game) on 38 catches (2.4 per game), while being targeted 51 times. He had four receiving touchdowns.
- Courtland Sutton had 64 catches for 829 yards and two receiving touchdowns. He averaged 4.3 yards per game over 15 games and was targeted 109 times.
- In 2022, Josey Jewell put up 128 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and two interceptions through 13 games.
- Alex Singleton’s stat sheet included 152 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and three passes defended.
- In the 2022 campaign, Justin Simmons had 69 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and six interceptions over 12 games.
- Zach Allen’s season stats for the Cardinals last season include 47 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and 5.5 sacks in 13 games.
Commanders
- In 16 games last season for the Browns, Jacoby Brissett passed for 2,608 yards (163.0 yards per game) while posting 12 touchdowns, six interceptions and a 64.0% completion percentage.
- Brissett made a difference with his legs, too, running for 243 yards and two TDs.
- Terry McLaurin was an important contributor, totaling 1,191 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 77 receptions.
- Antonio Gibson helped the offense by rushing for 546 yards (36.4 yards per game) and three touchdowns.
- In the passing game, Gibson grabbed 46 balls on 58 targets for 353 yards and two touchdowns.
- Curtis Samuel received 92 targets last season and converted them into 64 catches (3.8 per game) for 656 yards and four TDs.
- Cody Barton helped spur the Seahawks’ defense last season with 133 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and two interceptions in 17 games.
- Da’Ron Payne was on the field for 17 games, posting 64 tackles, 18.0 TFL, 11.5 sacks, and five passes defended.
- Jonathan Allen delivered one interception to go along with 64 tackles, 16.0 TFL, 7.5 sacks, and three passes defended in 16 games.
- A significant contributor on defense, Jamin Davis had 104 tackles, 9.0 TFL, 3.0 sacks, and one pass defended.
Broncos vs. Commanders Predictions and Pick
Our pick to win this contest is the Broncos, and we predict that Commanders will cover the spread (Broncos -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 38.5 points.
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